How will Mira’s main GPT-4 Sudoku market resolve?

118

3.1kṀ140k

resolved Jan 17

ALL

100%99.8%

50%

0.2%

YES

0.0%

There's been markets for whether it'd resolve 50% or YES. Seems sensible to have a multi-choice market on it. Resolves as expected based on the resolution of this market:

GPT-4 Sudoku Challenge (2023)

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@JoshuaB This can be resolved to 50% https://manifold.markets/Mira/will-a-prompt-that-enables-gpt4-to#

Reopened till the judging is done

I'm surprised no bot is arbitraging this given that it's currently trading at 8% above the other market and there's a lot of volume.

@MaxMorehead 👀 👓

Oh, yeah, forgot to link the other two markets for arbitrage

I'm just in it for an arbitrage hedge against other derivative markets, my actual beliefs lean in the direction of my net bet as opposed to my bets here.