This question wants to answer if Trump's freedom is contingent on presidential immunity or his ability to pardon himself and the question will resolve on the spirit of this query.

YES, he will lose the election AND serve time.

NO, he will lose the election AND NOT serve time.

Resolves NA if Trump becomes president or is ineligible for the presidency because he is already imprisoned or he is dead.

Losing the election is inclusive of any form of not-winning, such as dropping out.

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned

This market resolves when 1) Trump loses, 2) Trump begins a sentence, or 3) Trump dies. It will be extended if necessary.