Will there be a new mid-air collision involving civilians before September 2024?
33
3.5k
Sep 1
17%
chance

Per Wikipedia:

In aviation, a mid-air collision is an accident in which two or more aircraft come into unplanned contact during flight. Owing to the relatively high velocities involved and the likelihood of subsequent impact with the ground or sea, very severe damage or the total destruction of at least one of the aircraft usually results.

This is the current list of the latest such incidents involving civilians:

If there is a new entry to this list with a date after market creation (May 26th 2024) and before market close (September 1st 2024) this market will resolve YES. Otherwise, it resolves NO.

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