Will a new supreme court justice be nominated in the lame duck session if democrats lose the presidency or senate?
21
Ṁ1kṀ2.6kresolved Feb 25
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Faced with a trump presidency and/or repubican senate, I think Justice Sonia Sotomayor might suddenly decide she wants to spend more time with her family.
Resolves N/A if the Dems win both the presidency and the Senate. Resolves Yes if they lose one/both and nominate a new SCOTUS justice, whether or not that justice is confirmed. Resolves No if they lose one/both and do not nominate a new SCOTUS Justice between the election and the next government.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ269 | |
| 2 | Ṁ121 | |
| 3 | Ṁ50 | |
| 4 | Ṁ25 | |
| 5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Related questions
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
15% chance
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
22% chance
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
71% chance
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
62% chance
Will a Democrat Nominate the next Supreme Court Justice?
13% chance
If Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated?
28% chance
Will a Republican senate vote in a Democratic Supreme Court nominee?
Who will be the next person appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA?
Will the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?
28% chance
Will The Next US Supreme Court Justice Be Appointed By A Democrat?
19% chance