[M2K Sub] Will a "dark horse" be the next Speaker of the House?[Not McHenry/ Emmer /McCarthy/ Jeffries/ Jordan/ Scalise]
71
3.1kṀ50kresolved Oct 25
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if anyone other than the 6 people in the screenshot below is the next speaker of the house. It resolves NO if one of those six people is the next speaker.
This is a derivative market of /SimonGrayson/who-will-be-the-next-speaker-of-the-0b49bf53ad12 . At the time of market creation, the top options are:

Collectively these six people(not counting other) have 59% of the probability right now.
I think it would be useful to bet if one of them will be the next Speaker, or if it will be one of the options in the other 41% of the probability space.
Resolution will use the same rules as the main market, with the resolution date being extended as necessary.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ952 | |
2 | Ṁ413 | |
3 | Ṁ286 | |
4 | Ṁ239 | |
5 | Ṁ207 |