https://www.today.com/news/time-2023-person-of-year-finalists-rcna127397

See the results from our TODAY.com poll: Who should be Time’s 2023 Person of the Year?

After 11,299 votes, TODAY.com readers voted for:

43%: Taylor Swift

19%: Barbie

15%: Trump prosecutors

8%: King Charles III

6%: Hollywood Strikers

3%: Sam Altman

3%: Vladimir Putin

2%: Xi Jinping

1%: Jerome Powell

@KevinBlaw Wooo we woulda won if time ran the poll

@KevinBlaw Yeah I think a Swift victory was likely, but the TIME polls traditionally had a lot of options, as they were done before the finalists were announced:

@KevinBlaw lol. Sam Altman tied with Vladimir Putin FTW. It's clear the median TODAY.com reader has vastly different priors than the median Manifold bettor.

Sorry folks, looks like no reader poll this year.

Alas

Okay let's try this again. TIME seems to have given their TIME100 reader polls a lot more emphasis in previous years, I think they'll definitely do one next year. And if they don't, I have an option for you to bet on that!

This is really hard actually, beause you have to predict who is on the poll and not just already on the list because TIME added them without putting them on the poll. So, also an unlinked market on who is on the poll:

Aaaand I guess I need one for just who is on the final list, not the poll.

Okay, that's the last one, unless y'all have any ideas.

If they are still doing "Reader's Choice" it probably is still TS but I think itll be Barbie to be different, and both just had the only 2 Special Editions in September & November.

@Joshua Have we heard anything about the Reader's Choice version lately?

Literally nothing... I don't know what to do if they just don't do one >.>

@Joshua This is all I find on their site

https://time.com/search/?q=readers+choice

https://time.com/6239447/person-of-the-year-reader-poll-results-2022/

@Joshua If they dont, you could N/A, or % evenly between those that made the final list, or I am sure someone else may have a better idea.

But obviously, there is time to wait. (I hate loans, but I am probably in the minority, I don't like waiting long for resolutions, but waiting on this makes sense).

I like that it is closed though. Re-opening would be up to you if that is something you were thinking of doing.

Actually, looking through their archive, it is a "Reader Poll", not a "Get them to read this issue" like TS winning.
So re-opening could make sense because I am 50/50 that it won't be anyone named on the TPOTY finalist list.
But keeping closed could make for some interesting profits and losses.

@SirCryptomind In all past years they did the poll before the announcement. I'm pretty sure we aren't getting one this year, so yeah I think this has to N/A.

Here's a large poll of people about who should be the person of the year:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.today.com/today/amp/rcna127397

@Shump I hate websites that use that darn pop up and tell me to turn my adblocker off 😂

Are they even doing a reader's choice? I can't find anything about it on their website.

@squirrelfish I can't either. Maybe they're waiting until after the announcement tomorrow?

Little formatting announcement! Manifold added a toggle for free response markets, that lets the creator flip on and off when other folks can add an answer:

This market never got as massive/messy as the main market, and I'd like to try to keep that way if I can! So I've flipped this toggle for now, but I can flip it back if someone DMs me about an answer they want to add. I don't want this market to fill up with answers that will be at 0% and make it lag like the main one though, so please only ask me to add an answer if it's a serious possibility we're missing. No more duplicates or jokes.

That seem fair to everyone?

@Joshua Rationalussy should be an option here too

You know I guess we all benefit from Buttocks injecting mana into the market so screw it, why not.

That's the last joke answer though!

What does fixed payout mean?

@bec it means it's not a parimutuel market https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parimutuel_betting

@benshindel basically the new multiple choice type vs the old type

@benshindel i come : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parimutuel_betting game and and I conceive this web site is really instructive! Keep putting up