Trump seems to be winning. What should his campaign be doing to ensure he continues winning? Submit your own answers, and you'll get trader bonuses when others trade on them.

This market will resolve after the election based on my opinion of what the Trump campaign should have been doing in March onwards to make a republican win more likely. Even if a republican does win, this market will resolve based on what I think they could have been doing now to make that win more likely.

Advice I wouldn't send back in time resolves NO, advice I would send back in time resolves YES. If it's a really tough call I may resolve an option to N/A, but more likely I would opt to resolve to NO if I'm not sure.

• Please submit only a single piece of advice per answer, ideally one sentence.

• Try to keep advice strongly worded, like telling Trump to do a lot more or a lot less of something instead of slightly more or slightly less. Don't submit "keep doing what you're doing", I've got one option to cover that already.

• Be aware of trade-offs in your advice. If you tell the campaign to focus more on one thing, it means they'll focus less on other things.

• Keep the advice unambiguous, requiring no clarification in the comments. All the information should be in the option itself.

Please try to avoid duplicating other submissions. I may N/A submissions for quality control.

While this does resolve to my opinion, I will probably take a very outside view approach to resolution. If respectable political analysts like Nate Cohn and David Shor all say that "Trump should have done X" or "Trump did X and it definitely helped him" then I will probably resolve the option "Do X" to YES. If you want a model of my own biases nonetheless, imagine that I am Barack Obama.

Note that any advice to the Trump campaign would also be counted as advice to anyone else who hypothetically replaced Trump as the nominee.

I'm setting the resolution date for December, but may postpone if I still want to wait for more thorough postmortems, like this one.

These rules should be considered to be in Draft Form until this disclaimer is removed. I may update the exact resolution rules if anyone has suggestions for improvements within the spirit of the market.

I will not trade on this market.

See also:

/Joshua/what-should-the-biden-campaign-be-d

• Update 2025-05-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator stated they will try to resolve this market at Manifest. This is an update regarding the resolution timing, previously mentioned as 'December, but may postpone'.