Manifold: Live! - Sunday 11/26 @ 2PM Pacific - What will we talk to Isaac King about?[Ṁ1000 bounty for best suggestion!]
38
3.6kṀ41k
resolved Nov 26
Resolved
YES
Pick a market from https://manifold.markets/browse?s=random and have Isaac bet on it, explaining his reasoning and doing live research
Resolved
YES
The fact that the @Joshua just entered the top-ten of the profit leaderboard, congrats!
Resolved
YES
Tips for how to make good questions that people will bet in
Resolved
YES
Long term versus short term question adjustments
Resolved
YES
Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma Market
Resolved
YES
Sam Altman reinstatement as CEO Markets
Resolved
YES
[BINGO - At least five audience suggestions resolve YES]
Resolved
YES
Why was Sam Fired markets
Resolved
YES
inflation
Resolved
NO
Real money vs fake money prediction markets
Resolved
NO
Whales vs Minnows
Resolved
NO
Discuss the resolver uncertainty problem.
Resolved
NO
Isaac’s search tool
Resolved
NO
Addictive nature of Manifold
Resolved
NO
Live AMA
Resolved
NO
Market creation marathon
Resolved
NO
Is manifold just a news trading site?
Resolved
NO
betting on your own markets - advantages and drawbacks
Resolved
NO
"What is the least likely thing that will happen in January 2024?" https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/what-is-the-least-likely-thing-that-bab7616ec11a

Our pilot episode of Manifold: Live! will be airing in the Manifold Discord Channel this Sunday at 2 PM Pacific time!

@IsaacKing has graciously agreed to be our first guest! We'll chat with him about the week's markets, place some bets, and ask him questions about his long history at Manifold!

This is a free response market to suggest topics to talk to Isaac about. You can suggest general topics, links to specific markets to discuss, or a specific question you think we should ask him. I may N/A unhelpful suggestions at my discretion.

If we discuss something submitted to this market, I'll resolve that option to yes! This doesn't count just mentioning something submitted, such as just reading a suggestion out loud and then discarding it. However, it will count if we discuss it briefly, it doesn't have to be a long discussion. If we don't discuss something submitted as a suggestion, that option will resolve to no.

Furthermore, I will be awarding prizes! I'll managram 1,000 mana to the person who submitted the suggestion I liked the most. I may also award other prizes, but we haven't been funded yet so I'm not sure what we have the budget for as I write this market description.

Here's the summary of the show concept, for those that haven't seen it:

I will allow myself a budget of 100 mana to make token bets on options here, and will request that @NcyRocks and @IsaacKing do the same to avoid any perverse incentives.

The exact rules of this market may be edited if anyone suggests improvements that will lead to a better show, while remaining in the spirit of the market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
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