When this market closes, I'll briefly reopen it and enter a stream on the Manifold discord where I share my screen and close my eyes. I'll attempt to resolve the market to YES using only my memory of my screen and instructions given by the other people in the call.
If I end up resolving it to anything else instead, that resolution will stand.
Last time I did this it ended up being a little anticlimactic, so this time I've subsized the market with an extra M$200.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ646 | |
| 2 | Ṁ142 | |
| 3 | Ṁ90 | |
| 4 | Ṁ70 | |
| 5 | Ṁ59 |
This Sunday, 14:00 Pacific. Let's do this.
https://manifold.markets/Joshua/manifold-live-episode-zero-audience
@IsaacKing Reminder that we're going to be doing this in 10-30 minutes, so hop in the Discord chat if you want to participate.
Ok, it has been way too long. Let's get this resolved. If you want to join the stream, please comment with a day and time you can join within the next few days. (Convert to Pacific Time for simplicity since that's where I and most Manifold users are from.)
Nobody commented while I had free time, and I was busy by October 30th. At this point I'm probably just going to start a stream in the Discord at an arbitrary time.
@IsaacKing sorry I didn't notice you responded. I can do it in the next hour, but I have work soon
Also, to be clear, I will actually try to resolve it to YES. e.g. if someone says "click now to resolve it to NO", I won't click.
(I didn't bother doing that on the last market since everyone in the voice chat was in agreement on how it should resolve, so they could have just told me the button was labeled YES rather than NO and I'd have no way to confirm.)
@IsaacKing since the YES resolution button is to the left of the NO resolution button, perhaps you should click slightly to the left of where the traders tell you to clock, to maximize the chances of resolving YES