Our pilot episode of Manifold: Live! will be airing in the Manifold Discord Channel this Sunday at 2 PM Pacific time!
@IsaacKing has graciously agreed to be our first guest! We'll chat with him about the week's markets, place some bets, and ask him questions about his long history at Manifold!
This is a free response market to suggest topics to talk to Isaac about. You can suggest general topics, links to specific markets to discuss, or a specific question you think we should ask him. I may N/A unhelpful suggestions at my discretion.
If we discuss something submitted to this market, I'll resolve that option to yes! This doesn't count just mentioning something submitted, such as just reading a suggestion out loud and then discarding it. However, it will count if we discuss it briefly, it doesn't have to be a long discussion. If we don't discuss something submitted as a suggestion, that option will resolve to no.
Furthermore, I will be awarding prizes! I'll managram 1,000 mana to the person who submitted the suggestion I liked the most. I may also award other prizes, but we haven't been funded yet so I'm not sure what we have the budget for as I write this market description.
Here's the summary of the show concept, for those that haven't seen it:
I will allow myself a budget of 100 mana to make token bets on options here, and will request that @NcyRocks and @IsaacKing do the same to avoid any perverse incentives.
The exact rules of this market may be edited if anyone suggests improvements that will lead to a better show, while remaining in the spirit of the market.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ459 | |
| 2 | Ṁ280 | |
| 3 | Ṁ215 | |
| 4 | Ṁ97 | |
| 5 | Ṁ61 |
People are also trading
Giving the episode 0 prize to @Nikos!
And another for making his own market about the episode!
Episode 1 market is up now!
And this time I'm splitting the prize up so that we also give out mana to our favorite answer that resolved no!
@shankypanky I didn't want to discuss it because then they would discuss it! Someone called themselves a minnow, that's all.
@chrisjbillington well, it was a whole conversation about loans to minnows and how whales show up to support sometimes? including @Joshua's experience with Marcus? maybe? :)
@UnconditionalProbability "However, it will count if we discuss it briefly, it doesn't have to be a long discussion." It seems like the discussion of when in the SamA drama real money was more accurate than Manifold, and Manifold's excessive time discounting is a brief discussion of this.
@Joshua Are there any plans to make long term questions have bigger rewards, through compounding/scaling? You can 8x your value in 3 days if you all-in three separate 24hr questions and win both. Long term questions seem pointless. I'm new, so apologies if this is already answered 👍
I don't think a host should be eligible for the bounty but this is tremendous content, great market. We should totally do this.