OpenAI release GPT-4.5 or GPT-5 by what month?
167
5.5kṀ48kresolved May 14
Resolved
NOBefore April
Resolved
NOBefore May
Resolved
YESBefore June
Resolved
YESBefore July
Resolved
YESBefore August
Resolved
YESBefore September
Resolved
YESBefore October
Resolved
YESBefore November
Resolved
YESBefore December
Resolved
YESBefore January 2025
Any model which is clearly the next major, canonical form of GPT will count for this market regardless of what it is called. I am assuming this will be called GPT-4.5 or GPT-5, but it still counts if it has another name. A larger context window does not count, a jump like GPT-3 to GPT-3.5 does count.
All options resolve NO as that month arrives, until when the next model is broadly released and all remaining options resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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