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Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
45
Ṁ1kṀ6.9k
2027
20%
Clarence Thomas
0.7%
John Roberts
69%
Samuel Alito
5%
Sonia Sotomayor
1.1%
Elena Kagan
1.1%
Niel Gorsuch
0.4%
Brett Kavanaugh
1.1%
Amy Coney Barrett
0.8%
Ketanji Brown Jackson

Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court, who will be the first to stop serving for any reason? This could be due to death, resignation/retirement, impeachment, term limits being imposed, incapacitation, or any other reason.

The justices are listed here in order of seniority. I will extend the closure date if no one has left the bench yet.

Market context
US Politics
Politics
SCOTUS
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@PlasmaBallin Happy Holidays! Time to extend the closing date probably? Thanks!

@PlasmaBallin will you be able to extend the closing date of this one? Thanks!

@mods are you able to extend the closing date per description? Thanks!

How does this resolve in the case that it's a justice not listed? (e.g., the court is expanded, a new justice is seated, and then quickly gets impeached and removed.)

@AndrewG It will resolve based on the first of the listed justices to leave the bench. That's why I worded the description as, "Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court," to exclude any new justices who are added.

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