In 2024, will more or fewer Chinese nationals enter the US illegally through the Mexican border than in 2023?
Yes=more
13
Ṁ1kṀ824Jan 1
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It was about 21,000 across the southern border in 2023 (see CPB data: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?
5% chance
Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?
6% chance
Will total US immigration to Canada for years 2025-2028 exceed that of years 2021-2024?
20% chance
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Democrats will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
22% chance
Will Trump increase or reduce *legal* immigration?
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
72% chance
Will the US admit more than 2 million immigrants in any year before 2030?
18% chance
Sort by:
@mattyb found it in this CNN piece https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/08/americas/china-us-migrants-illegal-crossings-intl-hnk-dst/index.html , CPB posts these numbers every year https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?
5% chance
Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?
6% chance
Will total US immigration to Canada for years 2025-2028 exceed that of years 2021-2024?
20% chance
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Democrats will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
22% chance
Will Trump increase or reduce *legal* immigration?
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
72% chance
Will the US admit more than 2 million immigrants in any year before 2030?
18% chance