In 2024, will more or fewer Chinese nationals enter the US illegally through the Mexican border than in 2023?
Yes=more
13
1kṀ824Jan 1
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It was about 21,000 across the southern border in 2023 (see CPB data: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@mattyb found it in this CNN piece https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/08/americas/china-us-migrants-illegal-crossings-intl-hnk-dst/index.html , CPB posts these numbers every year https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters
Related questions
Related questions
Will voter participation in the US be higher in 2024 than 2020?
8% chance
If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)
95% chance
Will 2024 have more estimated illegal boarder crossings to the U.S. than in 2023?
52% chance
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
35% chance
Will US Border Patrol seize more fentanyl in 2025 than in 2024?
44% chance
Will more than one million people be deported from the United States in 2025?
15% chance
Will over 1 million non-citizens be deported by the US in 2025?
16% chance
Will a Significant US Immigration Law be Passed in 2025?
51% chance
Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025?
83% chance
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
36% chance