In 2024, will more or fewer Chinese nationals enter the US illegally through the Mexican border than in 2023?
Yes=more
13
1kṀ824Jan 1
72%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It was about 21,000 across the southern border in 2023 (see CPB data: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Will 2024 have more estimated illegal boarder crossings to the U.S. than in 2023?
52% chance
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
35% chance
Will US Border Patrol seize more fentanyl in 2025 than in 2024?
44% chance
Will more than one million people be deported from the United States in 2025?
14% chance
Will over 1 million non-citizens be deported by the US in 2025?
15% chance
Will a Significant US Immigration Law be Passed in 2025?
37% chance
If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)
95% chance
Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025?
87% chance
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
20% chance
Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?
40% chance
Sort by:
@mattyb found it in this CNN piece https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/08/americas/china-us-migrants-illegal-crossings-intl-hnk-dst/index.html , CPB posts these numbers every year https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters
People are also trading
Related questions
Will 2024 have more estimated illegal boarder crossings to the U.S. than in 2023?
52% chance
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
35% chance
Will US Border Patrol seize more fentanyl in 2025 than in 2024?
44% chance
Will more than one million people be deported from the United States in 2025?
14% chance
Will over 1 million non-citizens be deported by the US in 2025?
15% chance
Will a Significant US Immigration Law be Passed in 2025?
37% chance
If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)
95% chance
Will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50% in 2025?
87% chance
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
20% chance
Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?
40% chance