In 2024, will more or fewer Chinese nationals enter the US illegally through the Mexican border than in 2023?
Yes=more
11
133
Ṁ774Ṁ210
2025
71%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It was about 21,000 across the southern border in 2023 (see CPB data: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@mattyb found it in this CNN piece https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/08/americas/china-us-migrants-illegal-crossings-intl-hnk-dst/index.html , CPB posts these numbers every year https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters
Related questions
Will 2024 have more estimated illegal boarder crossings to the U.S. than in 2023?
55% chance
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
35% chance
If Biden wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
45% chance
How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024? (Independent market)
Will another illegal Chinese funded biological lab be discovered in the US in 2024?
47% chance
How many Chinese nationals will be encountered at US borders in 2024 in thousands? (Numeric market)
0.00
Will I be denied entry to the USA or Canada before the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will any Chinese citizen be indicted in the US for interfering with the 2024 election?
25% chance
Will Congressional Democrats reach a border deal with Republicans before the 2024 election?
19% chance
Will Mexico become more authoritarian in 2024?
59% chance