
Will Hank Green support pausing or stopping AI development?
6
100Ṁ200Aug 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Commenter resolution: if I find a tweet or video of Mr Green explicitly supporting a moratorium or complete halt, I'll resolve this but I'm not going to go look for it, so post in the comments if you find something.
If it turns out he already did send out such a message before market creation, I'll resolve Yes if that message probably holds up until today.
Complaining about AI art or misuse is not enough, an explicit call to halt should be present.
Resolves no if nothing is found before market deadline.
I won't bet on this.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI pause capabilities R&D voluntarily before 2027?
16% chance
Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
1% chance
[Metaculus] Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic announce a pause on large training runs for safety reasons, before 2026?
4% chance
Will an international pause on large AI training runs be in effect on Jan 1, 2028?
5% chance
Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?
21% chance
Conditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?
11% chance
Will AI labs need to switch to monitoring chips for a moratorium on AI development to work?
54% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
41% chance
Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?
86% chance
Will anyone commit violence in order to slow the progression of AI?
65% chance