Will trump ever receive any federal pardon in his lifetime?
18
1kṀ854
2051
55%
chance

For anything.

Market context
US Politics
Trump
Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

The biggest question about this is if he wins after a conviction, and pardons himself, will we wait until any and all litigation surrounding said self pardon resolved before resolving this market?

predictedNO

@MichaelMcInerney This is based on the issuance of the pardon, and does not depend on any subsequent litigation

People are also trading

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
10% chance
Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
1% chance
Will Trump pardon himself?
45% chance
Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027?
24% chance
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
40% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
44% chance
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
55% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?
73% chance
Will Trump issue a pardon / commutation for a group of people (not by name) during his term?
36% chance
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?
5% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy