Will trump ever receive any federal pardon in his lifetime?
18
1kṀ8542051
55%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For anything.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@MichaelMcInerney This is based on the issuance of the pardon, and does not depend on any subsequent litigation
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?
8% chance
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez?
13% chance
Will Trump pardon a member of his administration to avoid their prosecution for being held in contempt of court in 2025?
22% chance
Will Donald Trump pardon Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs before January 1, 2026?
5% chance
Will Trump pardon himself?
41% chance
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
40% chance
If Trump is convicted in any federal case, will the next president pardon him or commute his sentence?
22% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
46% chance
Will Trump be pardoned if found guilty for any of his current indictments?
25% chance
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
54% chance