it's

P(Trump doesn't die during the term) x P(vance loses election) x P(Dems don't moderate significantly) x P(there is no MAGA coup)

i.e.

0.9 x 0.45 x 0.75 x 1 = 0.3

I was foolish to buy yes so high.

@skibidist but if Dems moderate then Vance is less likely to win?

https://www.reuters.com/technology/sec-reopens-probe-into-elon-musks-neuralink-2024-12-13/

Context? Pardon Musk for what?

@AlexBokov I think it's just lib fantasies jumping the shark

@AlexBokov For anything

@AlexBokov for all crimes committed on the day of The Purge.

@AlexBokov These days presidents are handing out pardons to people who haven't been convicted. It's a new world where a presidential pardon is the US equivalent of being knighted.