Will trump be polling higher 1 month after his arrest than 1 month before his arrest?
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90
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resolved May 11
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YES

Based on the chart on wikipedia here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries

N/A if trump is not arrested in 2023.

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predicted YES

Wikipedia charts are down right now but RCP has 52% on May 4 vs 45% on Mar 4 so I'm going to resolve YES based on that since it's not even close.

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After he is arrested for tweeting the word "rationalussy", he will be polling higher because that tweet will immediately become the most popular tweet on Twitter.

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