If Trump is indicted, will his favorability rating fall by at least 5%?

Question

If Trump is indicted on criminal charges, resolves YES if his favorable rating on https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/ one month after the indictment's announcement is at least 5% lower than the day before the indictment's announcement. NO if his favorable rating is higher or less than 5% lower. N/A if he is not indicted on criminal charges.

Any criminal indictment in any jurisdication will count.

Only the favorable rating (currently 40.9%) will be used here, the unfavorable rating is not relevant to this question.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on May 16, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.