Will this market be above 52% when it closes?

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resolved Apr 12

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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Poor @CalebDitchfield

@CalebDitchfield If you want a cheap way to get back at Isaac, buy a NO share here: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-the-whales-win-this-market?r=TWlyYQ

predicted YES

@Mira done :)

Oof that was scary

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my timing was off by like 3 seconds lol

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probably gonna just delete my account now fuck

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@CalebDitchfield I've lost large quantities twice in similar markets in the past. I was pretty frustrated with myself for a few days afterwards, and the first time I quit manifold for a while, but I eventually got over it and got back to enjoying the platform.

predicted NO

Manalink for Caleb only.

https://manifold.markets/link/LYd5eMcz

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@IsaacKing appreciate it. clearly my fault, just got too optimistic about my chances and didn't code in a check for limit orders placed after the script started but before it placed the bet. lesson learned I guess lol

@CalebDitchfield btw does this count as intention to quit platform on that other market of yours @IsaacKing ? The one about people quitting or rage quitting after losing large bets

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Yeah I already added it.

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not actually quitting nor did I actually have intention of doing so, that was just my initial raging 😅

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oh but I guess I did threaten to. nice

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For context, I think Manifold should probably take steps to prevent this sort of thing from happening too frequently, and I've been collecting examples of why. See also /IsaacKing/will-manifold-ban-or-restrict-whale and /IsaacKing/by-2024-will-anyone-blame-manifold