Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?
31
1kṀ13k
2035
80%
chance

Source is IMF. 2023 values are 73.34k for Taiwan and 80.03 for USA. Resolves N/A if China invades Taiwan:


I think this is very likely based on the indicators of economic freedom and IQ, the rate of recent development, and the AI-induced boom in semiconductors.

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