Will Mira's GPT4 sudoku market resolve to 50%?

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1.1kṀ170k

resolved Jan 23

Resolved

YES

1H

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Will this market resolve to 50%?

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@JonathanRay, this can resolve to YES

predictedYES

@JonathanRay please resolve this to YES

Assuming the main market will not resolve NO, then this should be at 2*(100-x)% where x is the main market probability, or 76% currently.

But these markets currently estimate NO at 7%, so the main market probability is still properly arbed.

Please arbitrage so I don't have to do math.

predictedNO

@jskf My quick mental math says they’re more or less arbed

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Will GPT-5 resolve this market?

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