Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?
23
1.4kṀ1200
2100
30%
chance

Resolves N/A as soon as >5% of the population of Ukraine is genetically enhanced. >5% enhanced countries are not eligible to contribute to a Yes resolution.

Countries under 5 million population are not eligibile.

If PISA ceases to exist without leaving an obvious successor, I will choose a successor.

I'm choosing Ukraine because it's a rather low bar -- among the poorest in Europe and historically disadvantaged in many ways.

2018 pisa scores chart showing Ukraine slightly above US blacks (Apologies if you don't like Steve Sailer, but you can practice Bounded Distrust here)

Ukraine
genetics
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