Will any encryption scheme suggested by the NSA's Commercial National Security Algorithm Suite be broken by April 2028?
8
170Ṁ1472028
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commercial_National_Security_Algorithm_Suite
Goes by the NSA's recommendations as of market creation, not the ones in 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
RSA-2048 encryption will be broken by 2032
20% chance
Will AES-256 encryption be broken by 2033?
15% chance
Will AES-256 encryption be broken by 2070?
35% chance
🔓What will happen before RSA-2048 encryption is widely considered broken?
Will RSA-2048 encryption be broken before the first female president of the USA?
25% chance
Will RSA-2048 encryption be broken before Bitcoin reaches $150K USD?
15% chance
Will the Dorabella Cipher be broken with a published proof by EOY 2034?
48% chance
Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
18% chance
Will there be an “overnight” math revolution changing what we known as encryption forever by 2028
15% chance
Will a quantum computer successfully use Shor’s algorithm to break a public-key cryptosystem, e.g. RSA, by 2030?
14% chance