Will a pandemic kill >75% of the peak pre-pandemic world population before 2100? | Manifold

Will a pandemic kill >75% of the peak pre-pandemic world population before 2100?

Basic

5

Ṁ207

2100

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Non-AI Doom composite

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

People would adapt to extreme pandemics with extreme countermeasures. Something as contagious as covid but 90% lethal wouldn’t do the job. And even that is probably outside the Pareto frontier of bioweapon design given current technology.

Related questions

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Will there be a pandemic which most people agree is worse than COVID by the year 2050?

Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2100, and what will be the cause?

Will there be another major pandemic before the end of 2030

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?

Will the total world population peak before the end of 2100?

Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?

Will irreversible long-term health consequences of Covid-19 be shown to affect 20%+ of the world population before 2034?

Related questions

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

Will there be a pandemic which most people agree is worse than COVID by the year 2050?

Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?

Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2100, and what will be the cause?

Will the total world population peak before the end of 2100?

Will there be another major pandemic before the end of 2030

Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Will irreversible long-term health consequences of Covid-19 be shown to affect 20%+ of the world population before 2034?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules