[5k subsidy] Will “minimum viable restrictive diet” succeed?

Personal Goals•Fitness

271

Ṁ51K

Ṁ5.9K

May 3

ALL

0.6%

Goal achieved, diet adhered to

0.2%

Goal achieved, diet not adhered to

0.1%

Goal not achieved, diet adhered to

99.1%

Goal not achieved, diet not adhered to

"Goal": reducing my BMI from 24 to 22 (13 pounds) over 6 months starting Nov 2 without loss of strength.

"Strength": how many push-ups I can do without stopping (30ish) how many pull-ups I can do without stopping (12ish) and how much I can deadlift for 10 reps (185ish). A decrease in any one of these numbers would be a fail.

"Adherence": getting at least 85% of my calories from "minimum viable restrictive diet" allowed foods averaged over the 6 months starting Nov 1. This will vibes based and not rigorously tracked on MFP or something because I hate calorie tracking.

"Minimum viable restrictive diet" definition: eat only solid biomass with a minimum particle size of 1mm. (Things that have been ground down to a powder/liquid and then reformed into a solid, like cupcakes, are not allowed). The rationale is that this will hugely increase the amount of fiber in my diet and slow digestion even more independently of the fiber content.

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bought Ṁ40,000 Goal not achieved, d... YES

well I'm 5'9 164lbs and there's less than 2 weeks left

Any updates on adherence?

So no bread, no cheese? Are eggs allowed (are they liquid or solid?)

@mariopasquato Correct all of those are prohibited

How’s this going?

@JoshuaB Like 66% adherence and no progress

Only 3 days in to the official start but I'm way below the 85% threshold. It seems likely that I achieve the goal without adhering to the diet because I'm below the 85% threshold but trying to reach it was a directionally correct course correction that contributed to the success.

A similar market:

https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-the-simple-portion-control-pla

Will the “simple portion control plan” succeed?

"Goal": reducing my BMI from 24 to 22 (13 pounds) over 6 months starting Nov 2 without loss of strength. "Strength": how many push-ups I can do without stopping (30ish) how many pull-ups I can do without stopping (12ish) and how much I can deadlift for 10 reps (185ish). A decrease in any one of these numbers would be a fail. "Adherence": getting at least 90% of my calories from "valid meals". This will be vibes based and not be rigorously tracked because I hate using MFP. "Valid meal": [25-50g protein + 25-100g carbs +5-25g fat + 4-99g fiber, <700 total calories] eaten in a single sitting (under 30 minutes) separated by at least 3 hours from any other valid meal and at least 3 hours before bed and starting within 30 minutes of the same time of day as a meal on the previous day.

I aim to comply with both this diet and that portion plan, more or less

My estimated compliance for the first week is about 66%. This number should increase as my kitchen inventory gets more aligned with the diet

Update: 2 days in I think I am far from the 85% threshold. I will need to use up or pitch my old groceries and replace them with more compliant groceries. If my kitchen is mostly stocked with compliant items than compliance becomes automatic. My teriyaki chicken bowls from costco are probably right on the 85% threshold since the sauce is non-compliant but the rice, chicken, and vegetables are compliant.

This market is saying that if I don't do the diet I have a 30% chance of success, and if I do the diet I have an 82% chance of success. That's a pretty impressive odds ratio for an ad libitum diet that's really simple and not that restrictive.