If Andy Burnham wins a by-election, will he become PM before the next GE?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ3212029
87%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NA if Andy Burnham does not win a by-election before the next general election.
Resolved YES if Andy Burnham wins a by-election before the next general election and becomes PM before the next general election.
Resolves NO if Andy Burnham wins a by-election before the next general election and does not become PM before the next general election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?
26% chance
If Andy Burnham is the candidate for the Makerfield by-election, will he win?
78% chance
When will Andy Burnham become an MP by?
12/20/27
Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
If Andy Burnham wins the Makerfield by-election, will he become Labour leader in the next leadership election?
74% chance
If Andy Burnham contests a by-election before the next GE, who wins the seat?
Will Andy Burnham lose a by-election in 2026?
37% chance
Will Andy Burnham be an MP by the next UK general election?
66% chance
IF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?
Andy Burnham PM before 1 November 2026?
44% chance