Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
67
Ṁ1kṀ10k2027
1.6%
Chief John Roberts
26%
Clarence Thomas
62%
Samuel Alito
1%
Elena Kagan
4%
Sonia Sotomayor
1.7%
Neil Gorsuch
1.7%
Brett Cavanaugh
1.1%
Amy Coney Barrett
1%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
0.1%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
65% chance
As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]
What will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?
Who will be the next person appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA?
Who will be the next person appointed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
82% chance
Who will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Who will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
When will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?