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MANIFOLD
How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed?
3
Ṁ125Ṁ213
2043
37%
Republican President, Republican senate
6%
Republican President, Democratic senate
6%
Democratic President, Republican Senate
46%
Democratic President, Democratic senate
5%
Other

Resolves according to whoever is president and which party controls the senate when the next Supreme Court justice is confirmed.

‘Other’ is for (rare) possibilities, such as a third party president or a senate controlled by third parties.

Market context
Politics
US Politics
U.S. Congress
Democratic Party
US Senate
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bought Ṁ10 YES

What's the other option? The dsa splits off and somehow manages to win a majority in the senate and then caucuses with the dems?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Qoiuoiuoiu I just put it in, just in case.

That would still be a democratic senate though?

I’m more thinking of a third party president. Senate is hard for me to think of. Maybe 60 members of a new party get elected. It’s very very unlikely. I just don’t want to have to n/a the market if something really weird happens

@Jack1 Trump is re-elected as Dictator-For-Life Consul General, and you can buy supreme court spots for 1 mil

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