Will Polymarket fail by the end of 2023?
Basic
10
Ṁ818
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Examples that would cause this to resolve to yes:

  • Customers cannot withdraw their assets for ≥14 days (e.g. due to a hack)

  • Major loss of customer funds (>1% of total assets held on Polymarket, or similar), not just a few individuals affected

  • Files for bankruptcy in a way where customer assets are affected

  • Markets are blatantly resolved incorrectly, in a manner that is widely regarded as fraudulent or grossly incompetent (rather than minorly incompetent)

  • Any other major incident that would cause investors not to want to put their dollars on Polymarket in the future

2024 market: https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/will-polymarket-fail-by-the-end-of-a62e1d8ba6bf?r=Sm9uYXNWb2xsbWVy

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