Manifest X is coming to DC on November 8th. Tickets available at: https://manifestxdc.github.io/

But what will go wrong?

IMPORTANT: Following Skyler's previous markets (linked below), question will resolve proportionally to the top three things that go wrong. I expect to give the worst thing to go wrong 50%, second worst 30%, and third worst 20%. No one answer will win 100%. If an option shows odds above 50%, arbitrage that away.

In the unlikely event that only two things go wrong, third place will be the "Everything is fine, nothing is ruined (unlikely)" option. There is no way only one thing will go wrong, come on.

https://manifold.markets/SkylerCrossman/what-are-the-three-worst-things-tha

https://manifold.markets/SkylerCrossman/what-are-the-worst-three-things-tha

Note: I reworded Skyler's "fire department called" to "There is an emergency requiring police, fire, or ambulance response (not a hoax)" because I could imagine you people causing shenanigans otherwise.