Which Australian political party will become the dominant party after the next House election (as of Feb 2024)?
19
930Ṁ5249
resolved May 3
Resolved
YES
Australian Labor Party
Resolved
NO
Liberal Party
Resolved
NO
National Party
Resolved
NO
Australian Greens
Resolved
NO
One Nation
Resolved
NO
Jacqui Lambie Network
Resolved
NO
Centre Alliance
Resolved
NO
David Pocock Party
Resolved
NO
Katter's Australian Party
Resolved
NO
United Australia Party

Disclaimer: I am not Australian and have no investment/incentive. I'm doing this for an acquaintance who is interested to know. Please correct me about anything regarding how I set up this poll. The acquaintance requested that I count the Liberal Party and National Party separately. If both end up doing well or so, I guess it can be totaled or averaged (whichever is more correct).

  • Update 2025-05-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Seats will be counted towards a party's total based on the federal party room the elected Member of Parliament (MP) sits in. This includes:

    • Seats won by LNP (Liberal National Party of Queensland) MPs will be counted as either Liberal or National depending on which party room they join.

    • Seats won by CLP (Country Liberal Party of the Northern Territory) MPs will be counted as either Liberal or National depending on which party room they join.

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