Will Apple announce the launch of a car by 2030? | Manifold Markets

Will Apple announce the launch of a car by 2030?

20

closes 2030

37%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves yes if, by the end of 2029, Apple officially announces that it will release a car. This does not require that the car be released or available by that date.

Similar market: https://manifold.markets/TatianaSurver/will-apple-announce-the-launch-of-a?referrer=JoelSteadman

Background: https://www.macrumors.com/roundup/apple-car/

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ9 YES from 35% to 37%

Timothy Kassis sold Ṁ10 YES from 37% to 35%

Daniel Tello sold Ṁ0 YES at 37%

Daniel Tello bought Ṁ10 YES from 36% to 37%

Cadence sold Ṁ9 NO from 35% to 36%

Connor bought Ṁ10 YES from 33% to 35%

Joe Reeve bought Ṁ10 NO from 34% to 33%

Simon Mendelsohn bought Ṁ10 NO from 35% to 34%

morewings bought Ṁ10 YES from 33% to 35%

Flawless Train bought Ṁ10 NO from 34% to 33%

Timothy Kassis bought Ṁ10 YES from 32% to 34%

Gabi Purcaru bought Ṁ10 NO from 33% to 32%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ100 YES at 33% (cancelled)

Gabi Purcaru bought Ṁ10 NO from 30% to 29%

Gabi Purcaru bought Ṁ10 NO from 31% to 30%

Gabi Purcaru bought Ṁ10 NO from 32% to 31%

Gabi Purcaru bought Ṁ10 NO from 34% to 32%

Gabi Purcaru bought Ṁ10 NO from 35% to 34%

Gabi Purcaru bought Ṁ10 NO from 36% to 35%

Tomek K 🟡 bought Ṁ10 NO from 38% to 36%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 YES at 38% (cancelled)

Jonathan Ray bought Ṁ50 NO from 45% to 36%

Daconom bought Ṁ10 NO from 47% to 45%

ersatz bought Ṁ10 YES from 44% to 47%

ersatz bought Ṁ10 YES from 41% to 44%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 41% (cancelled)

ersatz bought Ṁ10 YES from 39% to 42%

ersatz bought Ṁ10 YES from 36% to 39%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 36% (cancelled)

ersatz bought Ṁ10 YES from 34% to 37%

ersatz bought Ṁ10 YES from 31% to 34%

ersatz bought Ṁ10 YES from 28% to 31%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ16/Ṁ100 NO at 28% (cancelled)

ersatz bought Ṁ10 YES from 27% to 30%

ersatz bought Ṁ10 YES from 24% to 27%

Carson Gale bought Ṁ10 NO from 25% to 24%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ100 YES at 25% (cancelled)

Jonathan Ray bought Ṁ30 NO from 28% to 24%

gcrl bought Ṁ10 NO from 30% to 28%

Cadence bought Ṁ10 NO from 33% to 30%

turbio bought Ṁ10 NO from 37% to 33%

Galen bought Ṁ10 NO from 43% to 37%

Srđan Pandurević bought Ṁ10 NO from 52% to 43%

Srđan Pandurević bought Ṁ10 NO from 64% to 52%

Srđan Pandurević bought Ṁ10 NO from 76% to 64%

Jascha Sohl-Dickstein bought Ṁ10 YES from 72% to 76%

Jascha Sohl-Dickstein bought Ṁ10 YES from 66% to 72%

Jascha Sohl-Dickstein bought Ṁ10 YES from 59% to 66%

Jascha Sohl-Dickstein bought Ṁ10 YES from 50% to 59%

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