Will flow of gas through Nord Stream 1 from Russia to Germany resume by end of day July 23?
10
101
Ṁ100
resolved Jul 21
Resolved
YES

Resolves to YES if the pipeline returns to operational flow by July 23 11:59PM in Germany (CEST GMT+2) https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/europe-edge-nord-stream-russian-gas-link-set-planned-shut-down-2022-07-10/ My Policy = “Not betting” Applying the joy_void_joy ontology https://manifold.markets/Angela/repost-under-what-conditions-is-it#AbqapM5wyao8Lr87sJVO

Jul 21, 6:08pm:

Jul 21, 6:21pm:

Jul 21, 6:22pm: LOL @everysteve ... looks like that buy limit order worked out for you! (?)

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predicted NO
lol got lucky!
over 17 h sustained operational flow at > 29,000,000/h...so resolves to YES
bought Ṁ94 of YES
accidentally put in a buy limit order. I can't see how to edit these orders, so I'm cancelling it out this way
Physical Flow ‘by day’ of >170,000,000 kWh/day (~10%) for any reported day through July 23. https://www.nord-stream.info/
On 16th of June, Russia reduced exports via NS1 to 40% of capacity, citing technical snags. On 11th July, Russia stopped all gas exports via NS1 for '10 days' of maintenance. What do you count as operational flow? 100% capacity? >20% capacity? Something else?
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/russia-gazprom-nord-stream-gas-moscow-germany-energy-crisis-economy-2022-7?amp

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