If under the official paper of the real superconductor credits LK-99 as either direct or indirect inspiration in some way, that would be considered contribution. However, I dont believe this is super likely to happen in this century and thus this will resolve to market % at close.
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As a self-resolving market, I don't think this will do what you want it to @Jingliu
https://manifold.markets/post/selfresolving-markets-why-they-dont
Didn't read the description before subsidizing, which I now regret...
Resolving to market % at close is not an economically sound mechanism. I'm usually averse to changing the resolution criteria, but I think here it makes sense to just pick a close time (like 2025) and resolving NO if it doesn't happen by that time instead, @Jingliu.