Will discovery of the first room T+P superconductor lead to viable fusion in the year following the discovery ?
5
180Ṁ622040
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve N/A if there is no room T+P superconductor before 2040 or if viable fusion is confirmed before a superconductor is discovered.
Even if there is no apparent causality, if viable fusion is confirmed in the year following the research paper that marks the discovery of superconductor, will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If we discover both room T+P superconductor and viable fusion on year Y, at which Y will we see first city like this ?
Will AI play a substential role in the discovery of the first room T+P superconductor ?
63% chance
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before year X?
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2040?
56% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2026?
4% chance
Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
8% chance
In what year will we discover the first superconducting material at roughly room temperature, atmospheric pressure?
2042
What year will I first come into contact with a room temp superconductor?
2039
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?
10% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?
19% chance