Will Scott Wiener be elected to Congress in 2024?

270Ṁ5002

resolved Nov 5

Resolved

ALL

Based on the election results published on the SF official elections website. I will not bet on this market.

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@JimAusman resolves no

Not until the election is over.

sold Ṁ758 NO

Liquidating to donate before rates switch, this is still almost impossible

This is basically a Nancy pelosi death market at this point

@JimAusman Should this close this soon? Or should it close closer to the 2024 election?

@EvanDaniel I think the chances are very low, much lower than 41% but a lot can still happen between now and Nov.

@JimAusman but you're talking about the 2024 election, right? So why does this close in 2023?

@EvanDaniel Good point.

@JimAusman Thanks for updating!