resolves yes if Vance is replaced/removed from the Republican ticket on the national level, formally or informally
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JD Vance will be not removed from the Trump ticket before of the election. Now it is confirmed!!!
@CryptoNeoLiberalist I'm on YES for this market, but this situation (awkwardly messing up the fistbump/handshake) happens to me every other day, and I don't meet even a fraction of the people Vance meets. I don't get why people are making a big deal out of it.
Oh, maybe he will not be removed? This market now is a collection of his folly of this man's soul. A repository of it all if you will.
It will go to poll. Trump campaign is sending this, replacing with the RFK by end of month at noon time. Drinks on me for the boys!
It is such the bad look for Trump. Nobody is wanting to be associating with the couch-man. Terrible branding!
I listened to, again I think, on The Portal. He’s a really smart guy. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-portal/id1469999563?i=1000473090465
All of the “here’s an embarrassing photo of you and lol couch” stuff like is lower than Dean Scream-level politics.
If you don’t like him, just say you don’t like him. Don’t run around inventing silly reasons.
Manifold seems not very efficient. Vance at 14%, but any replacement (Trump, Vance, Harris, Walz) at 8% (https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/trumpvance-vs-harriswalz-on-electio)
Trump doesn't care about all this stuff Vance said. People assume that the vetting missed it or something.
Trump actually believes this, so why would he replace Vance? This market is overvalued.
I think the idea is more that Vance is unpopular and that Trump could try to be strategic (big if) and replace Vance with someone more popular (or someone like Pence who appealed to a demographic that Trump didn't appeal to).
It looks super bad if they kick Vance out now - like they’ve caved to dem pressure on the ‘weird’ insults. Also, it negates their attack line that replacing Biden is somehow illegal
Freshy fresh find this morning of this mana-boy ready for alienating more of the voters, plenty of the childless Christian woman, oh boy. Why say it like this?