Trump-Vance vs Harris-Walz on election day?
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Resolves YES if the final Democratic ticket on election day consists of Harris and Walz, and the final Republican ticket consists of Trump and Vance.
Resolves NO if any of them drops out / gets replaced for any reason.
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If one of the 4 died [/other serious issue] before tomorrow, there wouldn't be time to change the ballots so the ticket on election day would presumably be the same (though pending an update) so it resolves yes. But one has dropped out, for any reason, which presumably includes death, so it also resolves no.
If going by the former, It could probably resolve already, but perhaps the latter is more likely and makes more sense.
Vance alone currently trading at 14%: https://manifold.markets/market/will-jd-vance-be-removed-from-the-t