
Will Trump make any successful recess appointments to his cabinet in 2025?
11
100Ṁ5912026
17%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if Trump is allowed to make any successful recess appoints to his cabinet in 2025.
I will use my best judgement to decide whether it is a successful appointment or not. An unsuccessful one is where Trump makes a recess appointment and it gets reverted by some other political force soon after.
For context, see https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/11/trump-senate-administration-hearings
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?
19% chance
Will a Congress-confirmed 2025 cabinet pick resign or be removed before June 30, 2025?
7% chance
Will a member of the Trump cabinet be appointed through a recess appointment in 2025?
14% chance
Will Trump attempt to use recess appointments for any of his cabinet nominees?
16% chance
Will the Senate vote down any of Trump's cabinet picks in 2025?
4% chance
Will David Sacks hold a U.S. Cabinet-level position (including “acting” ) in Donald Trump's administration during 2025?
25% chance
Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?
Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?
43% chance
Will Eric Weinstein be appointed to any cabinet or federal position by Trump's administration by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?
57% chance