Will Trump make any successful recess appointments to his cabinet in 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ1302026
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if Trump is allowed to make any successful recess appoints to his cabinet in 2025.
I will use my best judgement to decide whether it is a successful appointment or not. An unsuccessful one is where Trump makes a recess appointment and it gets reverted by some other political force soon after.
For context, see https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/11/trump-senate-administration-hearings
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Note, it looks like this is a close duplicate of one of the options here: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/what-will-happen-during-trumps-seco
Related questions
Related questions
Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?
If Trump wins, will RFK Jr be nominated to any cabinet/secretary position in 2025?
94% chance
Will Elon Musk be given a Cabinet position by the end of June 2025?
11% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will RFK be confirmed for a cabinet position within six months?
87% chance
Will a member of the Trump cabinet be appointed through a recess appointment in 2025?
55% chance
Will Trump adjourn the Senate through Article II, Section 3, and then recess-appoint a Cabinet member?
29% chance
What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
If Trump wins the election, will Vivek Ramaswamy be given a government position (cabinet or otherwise) by EOY 2025?
81% chance
Will at least 50% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?
51% chance
If Trump wins the election, will he appoint Elon Musk to a federal government position by the end of 2025?
64% chance