If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?
16
แน10kแน5.4k2029
62%
0
25%
1
6%
2
5%
3
3%
More than 3
If the cabinet level position is eliminated the department is considered eliminated. A merger of two departments that end up with only cabinet secretary would count as one department eliminated.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
How many US cabinet members will leave in 2026?
How many in Trumps cabinet will be fired by end of his term?
5.20
Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
28% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, how many government employees will he fire using Schedule F by the end of his term?
If Trump wins in 2024, will any members of his Cabinet be former Trump administration Cabinet members?
15% chance
Will at least 25% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?
77% chance
Will at least 33% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?
75% chance
Will at least 50% of Trump's starting cabinet be replaced by the end of his term?
51% chance
Will the 2025-2029 administration close a federal department in the US before Jan 20th, 2029?
48% chance