Basic
140
50k
2030
5%
chance
This market will resolve to NO at the end of 2029.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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predicts NO

How is this trending

Currently, the market resolves NO, and thus the prompt is correct. But the manner of Manifold complicates this. The prompt is asking if the market resolves NO, and if the market resolves NO, then technically the market is resolving NO to the prompt stating the market is resolving NO. So people who agree with the prompt stated should bet YES. But if the market resolves YES, it did not resolve NO, meaning that the prompt is false, despite users betting YES on the prompt. So in theory the market should resolve NO. But the manner of Manifold complicates this. The prompt is asking if the market resolves NO, and if the market resolves NO, then technically the market is resolving NO to the prompt stating the market is resolving NO. So people who agree with the prompt stated should bet YES. But if the market resolves YES, it did not resolve NO, meaning that the prompt is false, despite users betting YES on the prompt. So in theory the market should resolve NO. But the manner of Manifold complicates this. The prompt is asking if the market resolves NO, and if the market resolves NO, then technically the market is resolving NO to the prompt stating the market is resolving NO. So people who agree with the prompt stated should bet YES. But if the market resolves YES, it did not resolve NO, meaning that the prompt is false, despite users betting YES on the prompt. So in theory the market should resolve NO. But the manner of Manifold complicates this. The prompt is asking if the market resolves NO, and if the market resolves NO, then technically the market is resolving NO to the prompt stating the market is resolving NO. So people who agree with the prompt stated should bet YES. But if the market resolves YES, it did not resolve NO, meaning that the prompt is false, despite users betting YES on the prompt. So in theory the market should resolve NO. But the manner of Manifold complicates this. The prompt is asking if the market resolves NO, and if the market resolves NO, then technically the market is resolving NO to the prompt stating the market is resolving NO. So people who agree with the prompt stated should bet YES. But if the market resolves YES, it did not resolve NO, meaning that the prompt is false, despite users betting YES on the prompt. So in theory the market should resolve NO. But the manner of Manifold complicates this. The prompt is asking if the market resolves NO, and if the market resolves NO, then technically the market is resolving NO to the prompt stating the market is resolving NO. So people who agree with the prompt stated should bet YES. But if the market resolves YES, it did not resolve NO, meaning that the prompt is false, despite users betting YES on the prompt. So in theory the market should resolve NO. But the manner of Manifold complicates this. The prompt is asking if the market resolves NO, and if the market resolves NO, then technically the market is resolving NO to the prompt stating the market is resolving NO. So people who agree with the prompt stated should bet YES. But if the market resolves YES, it did not resolve NO, meaning that the prompt is false, despite users betting YES on the prompt. So in theory the market should resolve NO but bet yes

predicts YES

@MelvinSneedly Please read the market description carefully.

@MelvinSneedly Thank you Vizzini very cool

Interesting that this one went to nearly 0% right away, but the one below seems to have stabilized at a 30% discount rate. https://manifold.markets/Nu%C3%B1oSempere/this-question-will-resolve-positive-5c753f5a33e1
Poooooooonzeeeeeeeeeee
Loans, amirite.
maybe I can at least break even to make the comment
I'd suggest that markets that users explicitly describe as "ponzi" may not be making anyone more rational or calibrated, but hey
🌝 🌙 🚀 💎 🙌
I approve of this hijacking :D
Lets start a buy yes ponzi here. Use your loans to buy yes. Eight years is a long time. Lets hijack the market in the meantime for some fun!
Loans!
More people buying no devalued my no for some reason
Now that we have loans, why not?
I misread. XD
I think that was the fastest 300% profit I've ever made on anything lol
Trying to get close to 50%