MANIFOLD
Will Google announce a new quantum-related milestone within the next 60 days?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ20
Apr 1
41%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if, between market creation and the close time, Google publishes an official announcement claiming a new quantum-related milestone.

“Official announcement” must be published by Google on at least one of:

- blog.google (Google Blog)

- research.google / Google Research blog

- quantumai.google (Google Quantum AI)

- an official Google/Google Quantum AI press release or official X post that links to an official Google page

What counts as a “quantum-related milestone” (must be a new result/update, not a generic mention):

- a new quantum processor/chip/system announcement

- a major quantum error correction milestone / logical qubit milestone

- a new “quantum advantage” / performance milestone claim with results

- a significant roadmap update or major new capability for Google Quantum AI

- a major product/platform milestone directly related to quantum computing

Does NOT count:

- third-party news articles without an official Google announcement link

- conference talks/panels without a published official announcement

- hiring posts, patents, minor marketing mentions, or generic “quantum” references

Verification:

Provide the URL(s) of the qualifying official Google announcement(s). If at least one qualifies, resolve YES; otherwise resolve NO.

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