Will the meltdown of the Tumbles Financial Complex be covered by a "large" podcast or news outlet?
25
1kṀ3634Jul 7
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As of this morning, Tumbles "double your mana" loans were paid off, then Manifold has seized the assets.


Large is a bit subjective, but I would imagine something like 1000 downloads per episode is "small" and 100,000 is "large". Blocked and Reported counts as large, because they are who I'm thinking of specifically, and might send them this as a tip for an episode. I will not bet in this market.
For print, I'm not really sure how I would expect it to be measured. Obviously something like Wired would count as large, and so would something like Robin Hanson's blog, but my blog would be small.
Getting featured by Manifold's own press releases does not count for this.
Time frame is set to about two months.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!