Trump voids Biden’s pardons?
57
1kṀ13k
resolved Jul 16
Resolved
YES
The pardons are upheld with no Court ruling by July 4, 2025
Resolved
NO
A District Court rules that Trump can void the pardons
Resolved
NO
A District Court rules that Trump cannot void the pardons
Resolved
NO
U.S. Court of Appeals rules that Trump can void the pardons
Resolved
NO
U.S. Court of Appeals rules that Trump cannot void the pardons
Resolved
NO
The U.S. Supreme Court rules that Trump can void the pardons
Resolved
NO
The U.S. Supreme Court rules that Trump cannot void the pardons
Resolved
NO
The pardons are voided with no Court ruling by July 4, 2025

Former President Donald Trump has declared that the pardons issued by President Joe Biden for members of the January 6th committee and others are invalid, claiming they were signed with an autopen, thereby not personally signed by Biden. Legal experts have raised questions about the validity of this claim, as the use of an autopen for presidential signatures is not unprecedented. There is currently no legal consensus on the automatic voiding of such pardons due to the method of signing.

  • Update 2025-03-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Market Resolution:

    • Market Close Date: The market will close on July 4.

    • No Ruling Contingency: If there is no ruling by the close date, the market will resolve as specified in the original criteria.

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@JeffBerman

The pardons are upheld with no Court ruling by July 4, 2025 - Resolves Yes

Arb opportunity:

What if the matter never comes to one of these courts? Also, what counts as a ruling? How do temporary injunctions play into this? This needs a lot more clarity here.

@Balasar This market closes by July 4. If there is no ruling by then, it resolves as above.

@JeffBerman okay but they're not going to be "upheld", Trump says they're void and I don't think anyone has ruled otherwise.

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