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MANIFOLD
When will Andy Burnham become an MP by?
15
Ṁ1kṀ1.1k
2031
November 11, 2027
59%
Before Nov 2026
64%
Before May 2027
68%
Before Nov 2027
68%
Before May 2028
70%
Before Nov 2028
70%
Before May 2029
75%
Before Nov 2029
75%
Before May 2030

Resolution criteria

Each bucket resolves to "Yes" if Andy Burnham is officially elected or appointed as a Member of Parliament (MP) in the United Kingdom House of Commons before that date.

23:59 the last day of the month before is the cut-off for each.

Market context
UK Politics
UK
Labour Party (UK)
UK Conservative Party
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bought Ṁ10 YES

Made a market conditional on him contesting a by-election :) https://manifold.markets/JonathanNankivell/if-andy-burnham-contests-a-byelecti

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