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MANIFOLD
When will Andy Burnham become an MP by?
16
Ṁ1kṀ2.2k
2031
July 12, 2027
77%
Before Nov 2026
77%
Before May 2027
77%
Before Nov 2027
77%
Before May 2028
77%
Before Nov 2028
77%
Before May 2029
77%
Before Nov 2029
78%
Before May 2030

Resolution criteria

Each bucket resolves to "Yes" if Andy Burnham is officially elected or appointed as a Member of Parliament (MP) in the United Kingdom House of Commons before that date.

23:59 the last day of the month before is the cut-off for each.

Market context
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bought Ṁ10 YES

Made a market conditional on him contesting a by-election :) https://manifold.markets/JonathanNankivell/if-andy-burnham-contests-a-byelecti