Will anyone be murdered by a Luigi Mangione Copycat in the United States Before 2026?
5
100Ṁ312026
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if somebody in the United States is murdered strictly for reasons related to the conduct of the company they work for.
The killing must relate to professional, not personal grievances. An example that counts is somebody killing a CEO because their company laid them off. An example that does not count is somebody killing a CEO because they slept with their wife.
If it appears to be a mix of personal and professional factors it does not count (such as if both above examples happened at once).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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My thesis:
Slightly higher chance because of all the house fire insurance cancellations.
https://x.com/ParrotCapital/status/1877212850529468848?t=-xwQPOSYSb8veNs2bWIWmQ&s=19
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