
Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?
27
1kṀ93322026
82%
chance
3
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The model need not be released
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
76% chance
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
27% chance
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
23% chance
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
74% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
60% chance
By when will AI score >= 80% on FrontierMath
Will AI image generating models score >= 90% on Winoground by June 1, 2025?
76% chance
Will a Chinese-made AI beat o3's December score on Frontier Math by the end of 2025?
69% chance
Top FrontierMath score in 2025?
62.4
Will Al achieve 85% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2030?
87% chance